Here’s the description of the Case Fatality Risk from the UK government. I too base my numbers on the latest laboratory-confirmed cases & deaths from the UK. I too work out the fatality rates exactly the same way as shown here.
It’s blatantly obvious there are people out there who will go to any length to character assassinate me because I dare question the narrative. So far, they’ve ridiculed me at every given opportunity. I know who they are, you know who they because they walk in our circles and others. Their actions speak volumes about who they really are on the inside and who they pretend to be on the outside. Unlike them, this isn’t about ego for me, it’s about getting to the bottom of things because we are far from given the whole truth and nothing but the truth as the sheer level of censorship and rhetoric dogma shows that.
So, who are you going to trust, non-biased UK government’s raw data and calculations. Or biased pro-vaxxes who will use every argument of fallacy to redirection and ridicule in the book to spill blood of anyone who doesn’t think like them or questions the narrative. Ask yourself why is OK for the UK Government & Public Health England and ONS to present the numbers this way, and I’m not. The answer is simple, some people have a clear agenda and that’s no conspiracy either.
There’s lots of ways to display data, the more data you have the more ways you can show it. To date I’ve been showing the CFR’s for case/deaths in relation to variants along with age groups because I have that data. If I had data on comorbidities I would do that as well. The CFR calculation is simple, its something when we learnt before we were 10 years old as it percentages. i.e. 100/Cases*Deaths=CFR. Using the data in the images they work out as the following.
Week 27 Onwards – 100/3,449,591*84216 = 2.4%
All Delta Cases – 100/593,5732*2,542 = 0.4%
Fully Vaxxed – 100/157,400*1613 = 1.0%
Unvaxxed – 100/257,357*722 = 0.3%
Fully Vaxxed <50 – 100/85,407*48 = 0.06%
Unvaxxed – <50 – 100/248,803*132 = 0.05%
Fully Vaxxed >50 –100/71,991*1565 = 2.2%
Unvaxed >50 – 100/8551*590 = 6.9%
So what do these numbers show in regards to Delta?
1. Across all age groups regardless of vaccination status Week 27 Onwards data from the government website is showing the fatality rate of 2.4% which includes Alpha cases/deaths.
2. Across all age groups regardless of vaccination status the fatality rate is 0.4% which is 6 times lower than the CFR from the beginning of the pandemic and Alpha.
3. Across all age groups for the Fully Vaxxed the CFR is 1% meaning 1 in 100 people will die.
4. Across all age groups for the Unvaxxed the CFR is 0.4% meaning 1 in 250 people will die.
5. For the under 50’s and Fully Vaxxed the CFR is 0.06% meaning 1 in 1779 people will die.
6. For the under 50’s and Unvaxxed the CFR is 0.05% meaning 1 in 1885 people will die.
7. For the over 50’s and Fully Vaxxed the CFR is 2.2% meaning 1 in 46 people will die.
8. For the over 50’s and Unvaxxed the CFR is 6.9% meaning 1 in 14.5 people will die.
If you’re under 50, taking the vaxx will do little to prevent you from dying, in-fact it increases it, but only very slightly. If you’re over 50 then it’s a different ball game as the being fully vaxxed will reduce the chances of you from dying by a fact of 3. Again, these figures are based on lab results.
Of course, the data includes all the same limitations as stated on the website and in the reports. Whilst some people who will remain nameless shoot me down for this, if they have a problem best they take it up with Public Health England and see how they get on with that.
Questions that need to be answered.
1. Why is it for the over 50’s there’s 71,991 laboratory confirmed cases for the fully vaxxed and only 8551 for the unvaxxed?
There’s lots of possibilities to which no one can answer at this moment without data to support it. Hence, I’m trawling through as many datasets as I can find looking for clues. If I can’t find anything the next report will be released next Friday and will have all the latest figures, so we’ll have to wait and see because all the numbers will change.
2. If you’re under 50 there’s no benefit personally from being fully vaxxed. Thus you have more chance at putting yourself at risk from the known & unknown adverse reactions of the vaxxes like blood clots, heart issues, etc. and the other 2000+ known side affects as displayed on the Australian Governments own website (I posted this info a couple of weeks ago)
3. Since it’s largely the over 50’s at risk why aren’t we taking the same approach as we do with influenza, protect & isolate the most vulnerable and get them vaxxed. Instead we’ve shut down the whole economy and hell bent on vaxxing every single woman, man and child standing on the surface of this planet. I’ve been saying this since day one when the figures first started rolling in because we knew 18 months ago it was the elderly and those with 1 or comorbidities what were the most vulnerable.
4. We all know that the best defence always starts at home, drink less, quit smoking, more exercise, eat healthily, etc. Why is it there’s very little talk about this and instead we’re told to worship the golden calf of government mandated vaxxes and if you don’t you will be ostracized from society. This is what you call medical tyranny and what happens when science gets politicized and becomes more of a religion.
What happens to the CFR if more people become vaxxed and the unvaxxed become less. Answer, nothing because CFR are percentages so if 1 in 100 so will die so will 1% out of a million cases. Whilst CFR’s will fluctuate over time it will eventually return to 0 when no more people die regardless of cases because virus’s always become weaker eventually hence they often come and go.
Also, since the original clinical trials have only been done on the healthy in regards to Alpha and haven’t been complete, we still need a control group of unvaxxed people so we can gauge the efficacy and safety of the vaxxes with Delta. Thus, if you’re anti-anti-vaxxers, who are the real anti-science because they’re need regardless of your opinion because they’re required so science can do its thing?
So irrespective of what the haters out there think of me and other like us, whilst they carry on doing what they do best, I’m going to carry on digging like I always do.